Tag: gulf of mexico

Sunday, 05/27/18 6 AM CDT Update on Alberto

Alberto should not be a huge threat to the Florida coast as long as it doesn't stall while traversing the Gulf of Mexico.
Sunday, 05/27/18 6 AM CDT Update

The National Hurricane Center has lowered the wind speed at landfall from 65 knots to 60 knots. Additionally, they only forecast slow intensification as the storm crosses the Gulf of Mexico.


1. Alberto is expected to produce heavy rainfall with a risk of
flooding and flash flooding over western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and
south Florida through the day.  The risk for heavy rainfall and
flooding will then spread over many parts of the southeast U.S.
tonight and Monday.

2.  Hazardous storm surge is possible along portions of the central
and eastern Gulf Coast beginning later today, including areas well
east of the track of Alberto's center. Residents in the storm surge
watch area are encouraged to follow any guidance given by their
local government officials.

3. Tropical storm conditions are likely within the tropical storm
warning area along the Florida west coast today and within the
warning area along the northern Gulf Coast by tonight.

4. Dangerous surf and rip current conditions will likely spread
northward along the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through Monday.

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2017 Nate - Fast Moving - Growth Potential

Nate looks like he is one determined storm.  Winds are now expected to be about 90 mph at landfall.  The storm should be at its closest to Terrebonne parish at about 7 pm tonight (Sat. 10/7/17).  Currently, the storm is moving at 22 mph.  That is good for us.  Moving that fast means lest potential for intensification and damage as the highest winds will only be present in any given location for a short time.

I am not lessening the need to be aware of this storm.  I expect the effects to be intense, just for a comparatively short time.  I leave the decision to evacuate to you, as I consider this a very personal decision.  In my world, the chance for pain out-weighs the the chance for danger.  I refer you to this article for a deeper explanation of my opinion on that matter and to this website as an explanation of my medical issues (TMI warning - I get brutally honest).

The high water levels in Lake Pontchartrain worry me.  The trajectory of this storm, at least for a small part of the journey, will be similar to Katrina.  I understand Katrina was much more powerful, but over-topping the levees and flooding the city could be something to watch for.  I pray that the Sewage and Water District of NOLA is being earnest when they claim they can handle the deluge.

Thanks and God Bless!

Jazzy J

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