Browsing: Gulf of Mexico

Sep. 11, 2018 - Florence, Helene, Isaac and two areas of interest

The Atlantic Basin is ACTIVE. This morning, we are taking a peek at a number of storms including Florence which is an imminent threat to the Eastern US Seaboard.

As you can see in the overview of the Atlantic, we have multiple issues, including a new threat to the Gulf Coast of Texas.

Historically, storms forming off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula are difficult to forecast due to their rapid development and short creation-to-landfall timeline.

Currently forecast to make landfall as a category 4 storm, Florence has the potential to be a killer and a considerable destructive force to the Eastern Seaboard.

Isaac will be a threat to the Gulf of Mexico late next week if it can hold itself together.  Only time will tell.  Watching Isaac traverse the Caribbean Sea is a must.

Helene will be a fish storm, that is, the only threat it will pose are to objects at sea.

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2017 Oct. 8, Nate in Mississippi

It seems Nate is hitting the Mississippi Gulf Coast with significant flooding.

The following is from the 4 am Discussion from the National Hurricane Center.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Nate is producing life-threatening storm surge flooding in areas
of onshore flow and a storm surge warning remains in effect from
Pointe a la Hache to the Okaloosa/Walton county line in Florida.
Maximum flooding of 5 to 8 feet above ground level is expected
along the Mississippi coast within the next several hours.

2. Nate's fast forward speed over land will bring tropical storm
conditions well inland across portions of the southeastern U.S.

3. Nate will bring heavy rainfall of 3 to 6 inches with isolated
totals of 10 inches east of the Mississippi River from the central
Gulf Coast into the Deep South, eastern Tennessee Valley, and
southern Appalachians through Monday, resulting in the potential for
flash flooding in these areas.

4. Moisture from Nate interacting with a frontal zone will also
bring 2 to 5 inches of rain with isolated totals of 7 inches across
the Ohio Valley and central Appalachians Sunday and Monday, which
will increase the risk for flash flooding across these locations.

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2017 Nate - Fast Moving - Growth Potential

Nate looks like he is one determined storm.  Winds are now expected to be about 90 mph at landfall.  The storm should be at its closest to Terrebonne parish at about 7 pm tonight (Sat. 10/7/17).  Currently, the storm is moving at 22 mph.  That is good for us.  Moving that fast means lest potential for intensification and damage as the highest winds will only be present in any given location for a short time.

I am not lessening the need to be aware of this storm.  I expect the effects to be intense, just for a comparatively short time.  I leave the decision to evacuate to you, as I consider this a very personal decision.  In my world, the chance for pain out-weighs the the chance for danger.  I refer you to this article for a deeper explanation of my opinion on that matter and to this website as an explanation of my medical issues (TMI warning - I get brutally honest).

The high water levels in Lake Pontchartrain worry me.  The trajectory of this storm, at least for a small part of the journey, will be similar to Katrina.  I understand Katrina was much more powerful, but over-topping the levees and flooding the city could be something to watch for.  I pray that the Sewage and Water District of NOLA is being earnest when they claim they can handle the deluge.

Thanks and God Bless!

Jazzy J

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