Browsing: Atlantic

Sep. 11, 2018, 5 pm Florence Projected Track

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  11/2100Z 27.5N  67.1W  120 KT 140 MPH
 12H  12/0600Z 28.7N  69.3W  130 KT 150 MPH
 24H  12/1800Z 30.4N  72.1W  135 KT 155 MPH
 36H  13/0600Z 32.1N  74.5W  130 KT 150 MPH
 48H  13/1800Z 33.4N  76.2W  120 KT 140 MPH
 72H  14/1800Z 34.5N  77.7W  100 KT 115 MPH...NEAR THE COAST
 96H  15/1800Z 35.0N  78.8W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND
120H  16/1800Z 35.7N  81.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND

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Sep. 11, 2018 - Florence, Helene, Isaac and two areas of interest

The Atlantic Basin is ACTIVE. This morning, we are taking a peek at a number of storms including Florence which is an imminent threat to the Eastern US Seaboard.

As you can see in the overview of the Atlantic, we have multiple issues, including a new threat to the Gulf Coast of Texas.

Historically, storms forming off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula are difficult to forecast due to their rapid development and short creation-to-landfall timeline.

Currently forecast to make landfall as a category 4 storm, Florence has the potential to be a killer and a considerable destructive force to the Eastern Seaboard.

Isaac will be a threat to the Gulf of Mexico late next week if it can hold itself together.  Only time will tell.  Watching Isaac traverse the Caribbean Sea is a must.

Helene will be a fish storm, that is, the only threat it will pose are to objects at sea.

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Friday May 25th, 2018 Atlantic Tropical Storm Alberto

Friday May 25th 2018 Atlantic Tropical Storm Alberto update.

My apologies for not getting an update sooner. My medical issues were taking the best of me.

It looks like Alberto will be hitting the Gulf Coast between Monday and Tuesday somewhere between the mouth of the Mississippi in the panhandle of Florida. However, be advised that these are some very non confirmed estimates. If you were to read the discussions from the National Hurricane Center, and they explained that there are very few driving forces behind the storm. Remember, when this is the case, speed predictions as well as track projections are all in question.

Projected Path of Alberto

They are expecting it to makes landfall with a strength just below hurricane category 1 status. The winds are projected to be 65 knots. Most of the weather will be east of

Gulf of Mexico Basin

Louisiana. However, there is a tremendous amount of humidity in the air. Are potential for serious weather increases if the storm slows down and the weather wraps around to hit us from the north.

A true prediction cannot even begin to be made until Sunday morning. Thus, we all need to be aware of the progression of this storm. I will try to publish updates and further in-depth analysis as the weekend progresses.

I have recently found a treasure trove of weather data that is freely available from the Hurricane Center. The question becomes if I can physically handle processing it.

As always, pay attention and realize at some point you will have to make your own decision. At this time, I suggest you disgust evacuation or shelter in place plans among your families. I don't think we will use them for Alberto. However, we are beginning the hurricane season for the Atlantic basin.

Thanks for reading,
Jay C. "Jazzy_J" Theriot

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