Month: May 2018

Sunday, 05/27/18 6 AM CDT Update on Alberto

Alberto should not be a huge threat to the Florida coast as long as it doesn't stall while traversing the Gulf of Mexico.
Sunday, 05/27/18 6 AM CDT Update

The National Hurricane Center has lowered the wind speed at landfall from 65 knots to 60 knots. Additionally, they only forecast slow intensification as the storm crosses the Gulf of Mexico.


1. Alberto is expected to produce heavy rainfall with a risk of
flooding and flash flooding over western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and
south Florida through the day.  The risk for heavy rainfall and
flooding will then spread over many parts of the southeast U.S.
tonight and Monday.

2.  Hazardous storm surge is possible along portions of the central
and eastern Gulf Coast beginning later today, including areas well
east of the track of Alberto's center. Residents in the storm surge
watch area are encouraged to follow any guidance given by their
local government officials.

3. Tropical storm conditions are likely within the tropical storm
warning area along the Florida west coast today and within the
warning area along the northern Gulf Coast by tonight.

4. Dangerous surf and rip current conditions will likely spread
northward along the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through Monday.

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Friday May 25th, 2018 Atlantic Tropical Storm Alberto

Friday May 25th 2018 Atlantic Tropical Storm Alberto update.

My apologies for not getting an update sooner. My medical issues were taking the best of me.

It looks like Alberto will be hitting the Gulf Coast between Monday and Tuesday somewhere between the mouth of the Mississippi in the panhandle of Florida. However, be advised that these are some very non confirmed estimates. If you were to read the discussions from the National Hurricane Center, and they explained that there are very few driving forces behind the storm. Remember, when this is the case, speed predictions as well as track projections are all in question.

Projected Path of Alberto

They are expecting it to makes landfall with a strength just below hurricane category 1 status. The winds are projected to be 65 knots. Most of the weather will be east of

Gulf of Mexico Basin

Louisiana. However, there is a tremendous amount of humidity in the air. Are potential for serious weather increases if the storm slows down and the weather wraps around to hit us from the north.

A true prediction cannot even begin to be made until Sunday morning. Thus, we all need to be aware of the progression of this storm. I will try to publish updates and further in-depth analysis as the weekend progresses.

I have recently found a treasure trove of weather data that is freely available from the Hurricane Center. The question becomes if I can physically handle processing it.

As always, pay attention and realize at some point you will have to make your own decision. At this time, I suggest you disgust evacuation or shelter in place plans among your families. I don't think we will use them for Alberto. However, we are beginning the hurricane season for the Atlantic basin.

Thanks for reading,
Jay C. "Jazzy_J" Theriot

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Still Lingering Like a Splinter

Our nice little low-pressure system/wave/thumbprint in the GOM is still lingering.  NOAA continues to track the baby even at a 0% chance for development.  I've included a few views for you to look at.  None of the satellite photos look remarkable.

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