Month: September 2017

Sep. 21st, 2017 Maria Thoughts

Looking at the data at hand, I think it is safe to make the call that Maria will not threaten the Gulf of Mexico.  There is still a small chance of it raking the Eastern Seaboard, but that is waning as the storm is expected to turn north-northwest in the next 2 days.  I've included some graphics for you to look at.

I've not watched the news reports of Puerto Rico and the surrounding islands.  I'm crossing my fingers and praying they were not hit so severe.

Full Tracking Map from JayCTheriot.Com
Ensemble Model from Weather Underground

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2017 Maria - Sept. 20th Thoughts

I feel for the people of Puerto Rico.  For updated tracks click here.

The critical turn should occur on days 4 and 5 from now.  That is around Sunday September 24th.  We'll be watching closely to witness the turn.  Basically, the turn is supposed to occur between two ridges.  This is different from Irma, mainly due to the size of the ridges.  Irma had a very small low to pull it along it's path.  Maria is going to be sandwiched between two significant bodies of air.

We will have to wait and see how she behaves.

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